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Wednesday, July 29, 2015

FANTASY BASEBALL TRADE DEADLINE FALLOUT: METS ALL IN ON 2015, ACQUIRE CARLOS GOMEZ FROM MILWAUKEE

The New York Mets owned the 2015 MLB Trade Deadline, as they completed a blockbuster deal with the Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday for injured starting pitcher Zack Wheeler and shortstop Wilmer Flores pending physicals.  The trade brings Gomez back to where his major league career started back in 2007.  The late bloomer took a bit to find his major league footing but Gomez has become an All-Star five-tool fantasy baseball number one outfielder and he is slated to now bat leadoff for the Mets once the deal becomes official.  As always, let's dig in on the deal and find out how it impacts those involved.

Carlos Gomez:  The centerpiece of the deal, Gomez takes his five-tool talents back to the Mets who will gladly slide him back into the leadoff spot where he has his most value.  While 2015 has been a bit troubling due to some persistent injuries that have negatively impacted his numbers, Gomez is still flat in his prime as he won't turn 30 until December.  Going into the trade, Gomez was hitting .266 with 8 home runs and 7 stolen bases but again he has battled injuries and a recent slump to sink his numbers a bit relative to his last few seasons.  It was 2012 when Gomez finally put things all together after being discarded by the Mets and Twins as a completely undisciplined hitter.  It was during that season Gomez hit 19 home runs and stole 37 bases while hitting .260.  2013 and 2014 only reinforced that breakout as Gomez put up the following numbers:

2013:  .284/24 HR/40 SB
2014:  .284/23 HR/34 SB

Clearly Gomez is the rare and extremely valuable commodity that we call a five-tool fantasy baseball outfielder 1 and he will take that ability to New York in the heat of a pennant race.  While the move from Milwaukee to Citi Field is a clear downgrade in terms of ballpark potency, Gomez should only see a slight dip in home runs and RBI, while still posting good to very good stolen base and runs tallies.  The batting average can be a bit sketchy as Gomez has never been able to solve his high strikeout tendencies but overall he is still a safe outfielder 1 no matter where he is taking up his athletic residency. 

Wilmer Flores:  It has been a season filled with inconstancy for the 24-year-old Flores as he heads to Milwaukee with only a shoddy .249 average with 10 home runs and 40 RBI.  Known primarily for his power (which is always very rare at the shallow shortstop spot), Flores has not gone deep even once in July and his batting average is a problem.  In addition, Flores has zero speed which his a sizable negative when it comes to middle infielders since you want to get a decent amount of your steals from there.  The Brewers are likely intrigued by the power which figures to get a boost going to the offensive tendencies of Milwaukee's park but Flores only has value in NL-only formats. 

Zack Wheeler:  Wheeler will not be seen again until June or July of 2016 as he recovers from Tommy John surgery that was performed soon after the start of spring training.  The hard-throwing Wheeler appeared on the cusp of ascending into a very good power pitcher, coming off a 2014 campaign where he pitched to a 3.54 ERA and striking out 187 batters in 185.1 innings.  While Wheeler struggles with his control which leads to a high walk rate, the development is on hold for awhile.  Ultimately Wheeler is nothing to concern yourself with until 2016 when you can draft him as a hedge second half bet.  Until then, ignore Wheeler.

There you go.  Another big trade as the deadline continues to put forth some tremendous trades this week. 

 

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