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Thursday, July 30, 2015

FANTASY BASEBALL TRADE DEADLINE FALLOUT: DODGERS-BRAVES-MARLINS EXECUTE 13-PLAYER DEAL

For the second time in two days, we have a Trade Fallout involving the Dodgers and Marlins regarding Mike Morse and Mat Latos.  However there are now 11 other players involved in the deal as the blockbuster three-way trade was consummated Thursday.  Let's revisit what we said about Morse and Latos yesterday, along with the other prime players involved.

Mat Latos:  Latos clearly is the headliner in the deal and the veteran has been one of the hottest pitchers in baseball over the last month which coincided with his return from the disabled list.  Overall Latos goes West with a cumulative 4.48 ERA and 1.25 WHIP while striking out 79 in 88.1 innings pitched.  However those numbers are deceiving as Latos has pitched to a splendid 2.96 ERA and struck out 43 batters in 45.2 and only 9 walks since coming off the DL.  Clearly the pre-DL version of Latos was inhibited by injury and not pitching like the firm SP 2 he was during his stay with the Cincinnati Reds and San Diego Padres.  Latos seems like he is back at that level as evidence by his numbers from pronouncing himself healthy coming off the DL and the Dodgers are certainly buying at the right time here.  What is even more attractive is the fact Latos gets to remain in a prime pitcher's park moving from Miami to Dodgers Stadium.  Both parks are among the most pitcher-friendly in baseball and Latos' propensity for giving up home runs is minimized there.  Overall the trade doesn't change Latos' current fantasy baseball value but he should have been picked up off waivers by now if anyone dropped him earlier in the season.

Alex Wood:  Wood joins Latos in heading to Los Angeles to give the Dodger are ridiculous rotation as they join Clayton Kershaw, Zack Grienke, and Brett Anderson.  Wood has been mildly disappointing this season in fantasy baseball terms, having pitched to a solid 3.54 ERA but with a very ugly 1.41 WHIP due to a ton of baserunners allowed.  Wood has not looked anywhere near like the future star that he appeared to be in 2014 when he registered a 2.78 ERA and 1.14 WHIP while punching out 170 batters in 171.1 innings.  Instead Wood has seen his K rate dip sharply and give up 132 hits in his 119 innings which is very high.  He stays in a prime pitcher's park going to Los Angeles so nothing changes there.  Perhaps moving to a pennant race will boost him mentality a bit and unleash some more attractive numbers.

Jim Johnson:  Johnson was fresh off closing games for the Atlanta Braved, an assignment given to him just a few weeks ago when Jason Grilli was lost for the season with injury.  After being nothing but a complete trainwreck over the last two seasons, Johnson has had a nice comeback season in 2015 with a 2.25 ERA and 1.23 WHIP.  He will pitch in setup ahead of stopper Kenley Jansen and thus lose almost all of his fantasy baseball value.  As far as who closes now in Atlanta, our best guess would be Arodys Vizcaino.

Mike Morse:  Morse has become a sort of de factor hired home run gun as he has spent time with the Baltimore Orioles and San Francisco Giants (not to mention Seattle) over the last two seasons.  Signed by Miami as a free agent to man first base this season, Morse once again lost the battle to injuries as went on the DL early in the year and struggled at the dish in hitting an awful .214 with only 4 home runs in 159 at-bats.  Morse will be a spare part with the Dodgers, seeing his best chance of swinging the bat as a late inning pinch hitter and sometime starter.  He should not be owned in any fantasy baseball format.

As far as the rest of the deal is concerned, the Braves give up highly touted infield prospect Jose Peraza but did wind up with 30-year-old Cuban infield prospect Hector Olivera who is said to have immense potential as a future star beginning next season.  The Dodgers also get injured SP Bronson Arroyo from the Braves but he is no factor in fantasy baseball.  Finally the Dodgers get top infield prospect Jose Peraza as well.  There are some other minor league names involved but nothing worth talking about in terms of fantasy baseball impact. 



 

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