FOLLOW US ON TWITTER

LIKE THE FANTASY SPORTS BOSS ON FACEBOOOK

Wednesday, December 31, 2014

2015 FANTASY BASEBALL PLAYER ANALYZER: ADRIAN BELTRE 3B TEXAS RANGERS

                                            Adrián Béltre

Over the last five-plus years or so, the third base spot in fantasy baseball has challenged shortstop as one of the most aggravating positions in the game.  With depth not great to begin with there, the massive amount of injuries that have taken out big-name players here during that time span left many an owner scrambling.  Mention the names Alex Rodriguez, Kevin Youkilis, Brett Lawrie, Aramis Ramirez, David Wright, Pablo Sandoval, and Evan Longoria and we all can shake our heads at he past carnage they caused due to all their missed games.  Thus finding durability and stability here has always been a challenge which is why those who owned Adrian Beltre during that span had to be thanking their good fortune.  The perennial Texas Rangers All-Star has been a near-first round producer with his .300 average and well above average power at the hot corner.  As we move towards the 2015 season however, Beltre is beginning to reach a critical point in his career as he turns 35.  For all the durability Beltre has shown, he did have a DL stint in 2014 that pushed his at-bat total below 600 to 549.  At his advanced age, one has to wonder if there is more of that on the way.  Still despite the missed games, Beltre put up a top-notch .324 average to go with 19 home runs and 77 RBI.  The latter two were down a bit from his norms as well however which could be an indication that age is also robbing Beltre of some of his numbers which we will get into.  So with that said let's dig in a bit further and see what Beltre will provide his owners this season.

Stating the obvious, Beltre moving away from Seattle after he signed that foolish contract after his MVP-like 2004 season with the Los Angeles Dodgers (48 home runs) was the key to reestablishing himself once again as a premier slugger.  First with Boston and than over the last four years with the Rangers, Beltre's home run, RBI, and average has read like the following:

2010:  28 HR/102 RBI/.321
2011:  32 HR/105 RBI/.296
2012:  36 HR/102 RBI/.321
2013:  30 HR/92 RBI/.315
2014:  24 HR/77 RBI/.324

Those numbers above are immense no matter the position.  Beltre has knocked on the door to first round status during that time span and prior to 2014 he actually averaged the back end of the inaugural round which was well-deserved.  However the missed time and the dip in the home runs/RBI in 2014 have to give us just a little bit of pause.  Yes Beltre still batted .324 which shows that his batting eye and swing are still in top working order.  However even without the injury Beltre's power numbers were going to be down as one has to wonder about the effects of age.  35 is getting up there for any player and the wear and tear of manning such an intense position like third base could help accelerate that fade.  We are not saying Beltre will fall on his face this season but his injury risk is now at its highest point in his career.  The missed games obviously take a bite out of counting stats, as do lingering ailments that could inhibit his swing.  Thus you have to be a bit careful in not reaching too high for Beltre this season.

When you break it all down, Adrian Beltre remains a top-three fantasy baseball third baseman who still commands a high price on draft day.  We would gladly cut the check if we can get our hands on Beltre towards the end of round 2 but anything before that means you got to take on some sizable risk.  Of course Beltre is very capable of making that worry moot if he does stay healthy since he still does his work in a bandbox in Texas but again you want to be leery about investing in players who are older than 33.  Be cautious. 

2015 PROJECTION:  .311 25 HR 95 RBI 84 RBI 2 SB

 
******BE SURE TO PICK UP YOUR COPY OF THE FANTASY SPORTS BOSS  2015 FANTASY BASEBALL DRAFT GUIDE:  POST-FREE AGENCY EDITION BY USING THE PAYPAL TAB BELOW FOR ONLY $17.99.******


 

No comments:

Post a Comment