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Wednesday, December 17, 2014

2015 FANTASY BASEBALL DRAFT BUST: WIL MYERS OUTFIELDER SAN DIEGO PADRES

Boy has the shine come off in rapid form for new San Diego Padres outfielder Wil Myers.  Touted as recently as 2013 as the top power-hitting prospect in baseball, Myers has now been traded twice in the span of three years as his major league career has stalled mightily.  The Tampa Bay Rays waited all of two seasons to throw in the towel on Myers as they agreed to trade him to the San Diego Padres late Wednesday in a deal filled with prospects that also included the Washington Nationals.  After all the Myers was the big get the Rays received for trading not only James Shields but also current top setup man Wade Davis.  The fact of the matter however is that Myers was nothing short of a disaster last season as he was entrenched in a massive hitting slump that was followed by a wrist injury that cost him two months.  While injuries could strike anyone at any time, the real concern was how awful Myers looked at the dish prior to getting hurt.  Which if you were paying attention to what we wrote about Myers prior to the start of 2014, you would have seen coming.

Let's take a quick trip down memory lane to revisit.  It was spring training 2014 and Myers headlined one of our BUST columns after an eye-opening debut in 2013 when he hit 13 home runs in only 335 at-bats while putting up a .293 average.  Nice surface numbers for sure that added to the hype machine surrounding what Myers could do in a full season.  However we chose to look under the hood on those numbers and what we saw was disturbing.  The biggest issue we had with Myers was his awful plate discipline which was highlighted by a very ugly K rate.  Eventually all of those strikeouts and lack of patience were going to conspire to take down Myers' batting average and also his power as opposing pitchers would figure out they didn't have to throw him anything to hit.  Myers would invariably get himself out by chasing everything out of the strike zone was the line of thinking.  Well that is exactly what happened as Myers hit a pathetic .226 and .210 in May before suffering the wrist injury.  In his first 198 at-bats, Myers also only hit 5 home runs.  Again with simply awful plate discipline, there was no way Myers as going to get anything to drive until he made some adjustments.  Which of course he didn't as he struggled even when he came back from the wrist ailment, swatting all of 1 home run in his last 127 at-bats.  And which is primarily why Myers finds himself in a Padres uniform now. 

So as we look toward the 2015 season, the outlook on Myers remains dim.  He actually moves to an even worse power ballpark in going from Tampa Bay to San Diego which further diminishes any kind of home run breakout.  Myers also has to get used to a whole new pitching fraternity in the National League which is a very difficult thing to do for a young hitter.  While Myers remains very young, we wouldn't look here unless you get him as a mid-level outfielder 3.  Not good.  Not good at all.

2015 PROJECTION:  .262 19 HR 71 RBI 65 R 4 SB

 
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