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FIRST BASEMAN
Draft Strategy: This is where it’s at if you are on a mission
for home runs and RBI. First base has
historically been the top spot to find your power numbers and that remains true
for the 2015 season. In fact, four of
the first five picks in your draft may very well be first baseman (Miguel
Cabrera, Edwin Encarnacion, Paul Goldschmidt, Jose Abreu) and it is recommended
strongly from this peanut stand to double-dip here in order to fill out your
UTIL or CI spots as well. You want to
make sure you get a stud power-hitting first baseman with either your first or
second round pick or else you will be chasing the rest of your league when it
comes to power bats.
1. Miguel
Cabrera: Despite moving to first
base prior to the start of the 2014 season due to the trade of Prince Fielder,
Cabrera retains both first and third base eligibility in leagues where 5 starts
is the threshold (8 starts made at the hot corner). Whether at first or third base, Cabrera is
the slam dunk number two overall player in fantasy baseball behind Mike Trout. Now as far as the numbers are concerned,
there is no denying the fact Cabrera had an “off” year by his incredible
standards. After two straight seasons of
slamming 44 home runs and RBI totals of 137 and 139, Cabrera saw massive
declines in both categories. Cabrera
wound up hitting 25 home runs and driving in 109 batters, which are still
terrific numbers but they fell way short of his lofty standards. We always talk about outlier seasons in
fantasy baseball and how inflated numbers from a guy’s career norms usually can
be thrown out. The same goes for an
uncharacteristically off year like Cabrera had last season. Turning a still young 32 in April, Cabrera is
much more likely to revisit his 2012-13 statistics which means 40 home runs and
120 RBI at worst. Don’t let him slip
past number 2 overall in your draft.
PROJECTION: .334 37 HR 129 RBI 107 R 1 SB
2. Paul
Goldschmidt: A fractured hand right
in August caused by an HBP was the only thing that stopped Paul Goldschmidt
from having another stellar fantasy baseball MVP season in 2014. Once again Goldschmidt filled up all five
hitting categories which is almost unheard of among first baseman. With full health, Goldschmidt is likely to
come close to replicating or even exceeding his incredible 2013 campaign when
he hit .302 with 36 home runs and 125 RBI and even stealing 15 bases. Tough call when deciding between Goldschmidt
and Jose Abreu but the stolen base contributions decide things in the D-Backs
first baseman’s favor.
PROJECTION: .300 34 HR 119 RBI 104 R 14 SB
3.
Jose
Abreu: Talk about a smashing
debut. Jose Abreu became the latest in
an increasingly long line of Cuban imports that became instant stars in 2014 as
he hit 36 home runs and drove in 107 while batting .317. Abreu’s 10 home run/31 RBI month of April was
one of the greatest run-producing stretches we have seen in years and his
average got better as the season went on.
What is truly amazing is that Abreu could even be better in 2015 as he
continues to grow accustomed to major league pitching and he better withstands
the rigors of a long season. Don’t let
him slip past the fifth overall pick.
The guy is a monster.
PROJECTION: .310 38 HR 121 RBI 86 R 4 SB
4. Edwin
Encarnacion:
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