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Monday, August 22, 2011

FANTASY FOOTBALL VALUE REVERSAL: BRANDON LLOYD WR DENVER BRONCOS

Going into the preseason, Denver Broncos WR Brandon Lloyd was at the top of almost everyone's fantasy football bust lists due to the fact that green QB Tim Tebow was likely going to be the starter.  Lloyd had a ridiculously good year in 2010 on the strength of being passed to by Kyle Orton and with Orton likely on his way to Miami in a trade, things looked downright ugly for the receiver.  Fast forward a month and Tebow is now behind not only Orton but Brady Quinn as well as he has been vastly outplayed this preseason.  Lloyd meanwhile is a vocally happy camper knowing that he can build on the chemistry he showed with Orton last season and thus he is an attractive fantasy football commodity again.  Those who have already drafted no doubt saw Lloyd plummet due to the belief Tebow would be the QB but in reality, those astute owners who went in his direction will now probably be rewarded with some nice value from him with Orton back under center.  So Lloyd basically becomes the rare fantasy football player who goes from being a bust candidate to a sleeper candidate. 

As far as the numbers are concerned, Lloyd will not likely duplicate the awesome performance he put up last season as that was far and away his best season in his career.  Defensive coordinators have had an entire offseason to gameplan for Lloyd so the element of surprise wont be there anymore.  Still Lloyd will be a very good yardage and TD guy and he also can catch 80 balls if Orton stays the starter.  That really is the key because if Tebow comes back later on in the season, than Lloyd could see his numbers go the wrong way.  So its best to project something a bit less that what he did last season but also not dropping him to the level we thought be would be at with Tebow under center.  Wow what a turn of events with this guy.

2011 PROJECTION:  81 catches 1,178 yards 9 TD

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